Optimized integration of renewable energies into existing power plant portfolios

摘要

Fossil fuel importing as well as exporting countries of the MENA region have recognized their enormous potential of power generation by renewable energy (RE) technologies and the associated benefit for their national budgets, and therefore have formulated ambitious targets for RE deployment. However, only few countries have a detailed master plan that shows how RE technologies can be integrated efficiently into their existing power plant portfolio. Capacity expansion of RE and conventional technologies must be adjusted and optimized in order to minimize total generation costs of the entire system while maintaining security of supply. Within the last three years, DLR has developed the capacity expansion and unit commitment optimization model REMix-CEM (Renewable Energy Mix-Capacity Expansion Model) in order to support authorities of the MENA region in the process of integrating RE technologies efficiently in the short-term and transforming their strongly growing fossil-fuel dominated power systems of today towards higher RE shares. REMix-CEM optimizes the capacity expansion of conventional and RE technologies from a state-owned utility perspective starting from the existing power plant portfolio by modeling the hourly performance of each single existing and candidate unit. The paper presents an overview of the developed methodology as well as the characteristics and capabilities of REMix-CEM by presenting a case study for the electricity sector of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan for the years 2013-2020.