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Optimizing the Operation of Small Storage Reservoirs In British Columbia during the Spring Freshet

机译:优化春季快报期间不列颠哥伦比亚省小储藏库的运行

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We present a decision support tool for the operation of reservoirs in British Columbia with weekly storage flexibility during the spring freshet. During the spring season in British Columbia, large amounts of snowmelt can greatly increase local inflows into interior reservoirs with limited storage and create challenging operation scenarios. We have developed a stochastic dynamic programming model to assist reservoir operators in making release decisions during the freshet period with the objective of maximizing the value of hydropower generation. Including stochasticity in the model allows the probability of high inflow events, which may not be easily estimated by an operator, to be reflected in an operation decision. A combination of forecast and historical data is included in the model to provide a current view of uncertain conditions. The model provides easy-to-use release decision support for operators of reservoirs with limited storage during the freshet with an aim to increase revenue from electricity sales.
机译:我们为春季新鲜时每周储存灵活性提供了一个决策支持工具,为不列颠哥伦比亚省的储层运营。在不列颠哥伦比亚省的春季,大量的雪花可以大大增加进入内部储层的储存量有限,并创造具有挑战性的操作场景。我们开发了一种随机动态规划模型,可以帮助水库运营商在新近期期间发布决策,目的是最大化水电站的价值。包括模型中的瞬极性允许高流入事件的概率,其可能不容易被操作者估计,以反映在操作决策中。预测和历史数据的组合包括在模型中,以提供当前对不确定条件的视图。该型号为新全空历中的储存器的运营商提供易于使用的释放决策支持,其目的是增加电力销售收入。

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