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Model Inference Using Akaike Information Criterion for Turbulent Flow of Non-Newtonian Crude Oils in Pipelines

机译:模型推断使用Akaike信息标准进行管道中非牛顿原油的湍流

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In petroleum pipelines,non-Newtonian crude oils are generally pumped under turbulent flow conditions where the hydraulic design requires calculating the pressure losses due to friction.Without accurate estimation of the friction factor,friction pressure losses cannot be calculated.Despite of its significance,friction factor is a decisive challenge to be determined.This is due to the large number of friction factor equations and the precision of each. The main objective of the present paper is to answer this question by examining the published equations to select the most accurate one.Therefore,a comparative study among the available friction factor equations adopting Akaike information criterion,AIC and R~ 2 is intended.Data measured by several researchers are used individually and collectively. The results show that each model is accurate when it is examined with specific set of data while E&K model proves its superiority to other models when examining the data mutually.E&K offers not only a wide range of flow behavior index and generalized Reynolds number,but also gives more realistic and simple approach. It is also shown that the traditional believe of high R~ 2 means better model may be misleading.AIC overcomes the shortcomings of R~ 2 as it employs the parsimonious principle to trade between the complexity of the model and its accuracy not only to find a best approximating model but also to develop statistical inference based on the data.Yet,has not been used in our industry,the authors present the AIC to initiate an innovative strategy that has been demonstrated in other disciplines to help alleviate several challenges faced by the professionals in the oil and gas industry.Finally,a detailed discussion and models’ranking according to AIC and R~ 2 is presented showing the numerous advantages of AIC.
机译:在石油管道中,非牛顿原油通常在湍流条件下泵送,其中液压设计需要计算由于摩擦引起的压力损失。摩擦因子的准确估计,不能计算摩擦压力损失。摩擦力造成的意义,摩擦因素是要确定的决定性挑战。这是由于大量的摩擦系数方程和每种精度。本文的主要目的是通过检查已发布的方程来选择最准确的方程来回答这个问题。因此,采用Akaike信息标准,AIC和R〜2的可用摩擦系数方程之间的比较研究。几个研究人员被单独和集体使用。结果表明,当使用特定数据集时,每个模型都准确,而E&K模型在互相检查数据时证明其对其他模型的优势。&K不仅提供了广泛的流动行为指数和广义雷诺数,还提供了提供更加现实和简单的方法。还表明传统的相信高r〜2表示更好的模型可能是误导性。克服了R〜2的缺点,因为它在模型的复杂性与其准确性之间贸易之间的贸易和其准确性不仅要找到一个最佳近似模型还基于数据的统计推断。留置于我们的行业,提交人展示了AIC,启动了在其他学科中证明的创新策略,以帮助减轻专业人士面临的几项挑战在石油和天然气工业中。最后,提出了根据AIC和R〜2的详细讨论和模型,显示了AIC的众多优势。

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