Research on China Energy Structure with CO2 Minimum Emission In 2020

摘要

Nowadays, China releases the most quantity of carbon dioxide in the world. For dealing with the serious environment problems in the future, it is necessary to cut down the emission of greenhouse gases. The total energy demand & GDP are predicted as 4.4 billion tons standard coal and R.M .B 76.5 trillion Yuan, with time series analy sis technology, in 2020. The L.P. model is set forth, with carbon and free carbon energy evolving tendency, but meeting energy demand as subject condition, with CO2 minimum emission as goal function. The model's solution proves that carbon dioxide emission of per unit GDP is 1.41 ton/10~8 Yuan, reduced by 53% compared 2005, the electric power with free carbon resource over the sum is 16% in the 2020.