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Predicting Snowmobile Speed from Visible Locked-Track and Rolldown Marks in Groomed/Packed Snow Conditions

机译:从可见的锁定轨道和罗德敦标记中预测雪地摩托速度,在整个修饰/包装的雪地条件下

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The ability to accurately calculate a snowmobile’s speed based on measured track marks in the snow is important when assessing a snowmobile accident. The characteristics and length of visible snowmobile track marks were documented for 41 locked-track braking tests and 38 rolldown tests using four modern snowmobiles on a groomed/packed snow surface. The documented track mark lengths were used to quantify the uncertainty associated with using track mark length to estimate initial speed. Regression models were developed for both data sets. The regression model of the locked-track tests revealed that using an average deceleration of 0.36g over the length of the locked track mark provides a good estimate of the best-fit line through the data, with the upper and lower 95th percentile prediction interval bounds best represented by using deceleration rates of 0.23g and 0.52g respectively. For the rolldown tests, using an average deceleration of 0.23g over the length of the measured rolldown mark provides a good estimate of the best-fit line through the data, with the upper and lower bounds of the 95th percentile prediction interval best represented by using deceleration rates of 0.13g and 0.40g respectively. For our locked-track braking tests, we also calculated a 0.38 ± 0.19s delay between initial brake application and track lock. The results of this study will allow investigators to quantify the accuracy of their calculated speeds using measured track mark lengths on similar snow conditions.
机译:在评估雪地摩托事故时,基于雪中的测量轨迹准确计算雪地摩托的速度的能力很重要。可见雪地摩托车轨迹标记的特点和长度被记录为41个锁定轨道制动测试和38个Rolldown测试,在整个雪地上使用四个现代雪地摩托车。记录的曲目标记长度用于量化与使用轨道标记长度相关联的不确定性以估计初始速度。为两个数据集开发了回归模型。锁定轨道测试的回归模型显示,在锁定的轨道标记的长度上使用0.36g的平均减速提供了通过数据的最佳拟合线的良好估计,具有上下95百分位预测间隔边界最佳用0.23g和0.52g的减速率分别表示。对于ROLLDOWN测试,在测量的ROLLDOWN标记的长度上使用0.23g的平均减速提供了通过数据的最佳拟合线的良好估计,其中高95百分位预测间隔最佳使用减速率分别为0.13g和0.40克。对于我们锁定的轨道制动测试,我们还在初始制动器应用和轨道锁之间计算了0.38±0.19s延迟。该研究的结果将允许调查人员使用测量的轨道标记长度在类似的雪条件上量化其计算速度的准确性。

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