A time series analysis and forecasting model in dam safety monitoring

摘要

Based on the new time series analysis and the theory of dam safety, this paper proposed a new forecasting model in dam safety monitoring. First the paper introduced basic method of flat forecast and described its algorithm routine, and explained what is time series. Second the model structure of monitoring system based on time series analysis was given through the analysis of the method. The system can provide the comparison chart of the measured data, forecast data and trends. At last the model was realized based on VB and tested by the actual data. Experimental results show that this forecasting model has better prediction results in dam safety monitoring.