首页> 外文会议>SAM10 >Analytical Solutions of Large Fault Tree Models using BDD: New Techniques and Applications
【24h】

Analytical Solutions of Large Fault Tree Models using BDD: New Techniques and Applications

机译:使用BDD的大故障树模型的分析解:新技术和应用

获取原文

摘要

Most tools available for quantifying large linked Fault Tree models as used in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) are unable to produce analytically exact results. The algorithms of such quantifiers are designed to neglect sequences when their likelihood decreases below a predefined truncation limit. In addition, the rare event approximation is typically implemented to the first order, ignoring success paths. In the last decade, new quantification algorithms using the mathematical concept of Binary Decision Diagram (BDD) have been proposed to overcome these deficiencies. Since a BDD analytically encodes Boolean expressions, exact failure probabilities can be deduced without approximation or truncation. However, extended effort is required when converting a given Fault Tree to its BDD form; this turns out to be an optimization problem of NP-complete complexity. Several innovative optimization techniques are developed and investigated as a case study on the fullscope PSA model of the Leibstadt Nuclear Power Plant. We succeeded in converting the Leibstadt PSA model into a BDD with more than 1'500'000 nodes, for a total of 3650 basic events. The BDD covers a complete Event Tree sequence that includes reactor shutdown and cooling with all Emergency Core Cooling Systems and support systems, enabling objective comparisons between quantification tools.
机译:大多数可用于量化概率安全评估(PSA)中使用的大型链接故障树模型的工具无法生成分析精确结果。这种量子的算法被设计成忽略序列,当它们的似然减小到预定义的截断限制时。另外,罕见的事件近似通常是第一个顺序实现的,忽略成功路径。在过去的十年中,已经提出了使用二元决策图(BDD)的数学概念的新量化算法来克服这些缺陷。由于BDD分析编码布尔表达,因此可以在不近似或截断的情况下推断出精确的故障概率。但是,将给定的故障树转换为其BDD形式时,需要扩展努力;这结果是NP完全复杂性的优化问题。开发并调查了几种创新的优化技术作为Leibstadt核电站Fullscope PSA模型的案例研究。我们成功地将Leibstadt PSA模型转换为具有超过1'5000000个节点的BDD,共有3650个基本事件。 BDD涵盖了一个完整的事件树序列,其中包括所有紧急核心冷却系统和支持系统的电抗器关机和冷却,在量化工具之间实现客观的比较。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号