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Empirical Analysis of Environmental Innovation and Economic Growth in Western Region

机译:西部环境创新与经济增长的实证分析

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This article chooses the evaluation index from The Report of Sustainable Development Strategy of China and quantifies the environmental innovation level. We exploit the data of western region from the year 1995 to 2010 and forecast the regional environmental innovation level in 2011 and 2012 through ARIMA model. The result of prediction indicates the tendency of stable increase of this level. We then use unit root test, co-integration analysis and Granger Causality to test the relationship between the environmental innovation and economic growth. The result shows the long-term equilibrium relationship between them; environmental innovation has positive external spillover effects on economic growth and they follow the Granger Causality. The results of empirical analysis comply with the situation of societal and economic development of western area. Finally, the relevant policy recommendations are proposed.
机译:本文选择了中国可持续发展战略报告的评价指标,并量化了环境创新层面。我们从1995年到2010年开始,利用了西部地区的数据,并预测了2011年和2012年通过Arima模型的区域环境创新层面。预测结果表明该水平稳定增加的趋势。然后,我们使用单位根测试,共同集成分析和格兰杰因果关系来测试环境创新与经济增长之间的关系。结果显示它们之间的长期平衡关系;环境创新对经济增长具有积极的外部溢出影响,并遵循格兰杰因果关系。实证分析结果符合西部地区社会与经济发展的局势。最后,提出了相关的政策建议。

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