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Global Climate Change -The Power Generation Challenge

机译:全球气候变化 - 发电挑战

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The planet continues to warm; 0.5 C from the 1970's to the 2000's. Also, worldwide CO_2 emissions have increased at a 3% annual growth rate from 2000 to 2010. Such emissions are driven by fossil fuel combustion, especially in the power generation sector, & especially in emerging economies such as China & India. If such fossil fuel intensive activity continues, based on recent Royal Society analysis, the planet could experience 4 °C warming as early as 2065. This could yield potentially catastrophic impacts. In order to mitigate such climate change, major reductions in emissions will be necessary in all sectors. Since the power generation sector emits more CO_2 than any other sector, & since power plants are large controllable sources, major reductions will be needed from this critically important sector. IEA analysis suggest that for this sector, an 80% emission reduction will be needed internationally in order to achieve 50% reduction across all the sectors by 2050. A similar analysis for the U.S., suggests that greater than a 90% reduction may be necessary to achieve an overall national reduction of 50% by 2050. Also, in light of the Fukushima disaster, nuclear power appears to be a less viable mitigation option than it was before the disaster. This suggests that Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) technology will be increasingly important, if coal & natural gas are to continue to provide base load power in a carbon constrained world in the decades ahead.
机译:这个星球继续温暖;从1970年代到2000年的0.5 C。此外,全球CO_2排放量从2000年至2010年的年增长率增加了3%。这种排放由化石燃料燃烧,特别是在发电部门,特别是在中国和印度等新兴经济体中。如果这种化石燃料密集型活动继续,基于近期皇家社会分析,该地球可能会在2065年前经历4°C的温暖。这可能会产生潜在的灾难性影响。为了减轻这种气候变化,所有部门都必须在排放的主要减少。由于发电扇区比任何其他扇区发出更多CO_2,并且由于发电厂是较大的可控源,因此将从这一批判性重要部门中需要重大减少。 IEA分析表明,对于这一部门,将在国际上进行80%的排放减少,以便在2050年之前实现所有部门的50%。对美国的类似分析表明,可能需要大于90%的减少达到2050年的整体国家减少50%。此外,根据福岛灾难,核电似乎是灾难前的不太可行的缓解选择。这表明碳捕获和储存(CCS)技术将越来越重要,如果煤炭和天然气在未来几十年的十年内继续为碳约束世界提供基础负荷电力。

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