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UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM WIND SPEED PREDICTION - (PPT)

机译:长期风速预测的不确定性分析 - (PPT)

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Seasonality is not accounted for in a classical approach to the Quality of the relationship. However, seasonality can be accounted for in empirical estimations of the Quality of the relationship. The 1% per 10 meter rule of thumb is just that. It needs to be evaluated on a case by case basis. Insufficient vertical separation between anemometers used for calculating shear leads to higher shear extrapolation uncertainty. The NCEP Reanalysis Surface Winds map indicates that only a few regions might have an annual variability greater than 6% Analysis conducted on 231 ground stations shows that much of the US has an IAV closer to 4% and only a very small portion of the US is >=6%.
机译:季节性并不占与关系质量的古典方法。 但是,可以在与关系质量的实证估算中占季节性。 每10米拇指的1%是这样的。 需要按案例进行评估。 用于计算剪切的风光度计之间的垂直分离不足导致更高的剪切外推不确定度。 NCEP Reanalysis Surface Winds Map表示只有几个地区的年度变异性大于231个地面站的分析,表明美国大部分地区的IAV更接近4%,只有一小部分美国 > = 6%。

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