The role very short-term forecasting will play in getting to 20 - (PPT)

摘要

Windpower prediction is required for efficient system operation: - The importance of prediction is becoming increasingly recognised as the growth of windpower continues. - To date, the shortest forecast time interval (that is commonly available) is in the hour ahead range. - However, as windpower penetration and the size of windfarms continue to increase, the importance of very short-term forecasting will also become apparent. - In order to make a 20% penetration by energy throughout the USA, very shortterm prediction will be vital. - This presentation has shown that significant improvements over persistence can be made, even as short as 2.5 minutes ahead.