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Complex Times: Asset Pricing and Conditional Moments under Non-Affine Diffusions

机译:复杂时间:在非仿射扩散下的资产定价和条件时刻

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We develop methods for the approximation of solutions to the Chapman-Kolmogorov backward and Feynman-Kac partial di.erential equations, where the method of approximation is accurate for very long time horizons. When an underlying economy is modeled by a di.usion process, asset prices and conditional expectations of the state variables can be found as solutions to these partial di.erential equations. However, for all but a few simple cases, solutions cannot be found explicitly in closed form. The form of these equations suggests constructing a power series in the time variable as a method of solution. However, the convergence properties of such power series solutions are often quite poor. We examine the problem of determining the convergence properties of power series solutions, and introduce a parameterized family of non-a.ne transformations of the time variable that can substantially improve the rate of convergence for long time horizons. In some cases, the approximations converge uniformly (in time) to the true (but unknown) solutions for arbitrarily large time horizons. The ability to approximate solutions accurately and in closed form simplifies the estimation of non-a.ne continuous-time term structure models, since the bond pricing problem must be solved for many di.erent parameter vectors during a typical estimation procedure.
机译:我们开发对Chapman-Kolmogorov后向后和Feynman-KAC部分DI.Elential等式的近似的方法,其中近似方法对于很长的时间来说是准确的。当潜在的经济由DI.UST过程建模时,可以将资产价格和状态变量的有条件期望作为这些部分DI.ELENAL等式的解决方案。但是,除了几个简单的情况下,解决方案无法明确地以封闭形式明确地发现。这些等式的形式建议在时间变量中构建功率系列作为解决方法。然而,这种动力序列解决方案的收敛性能通常相当差。我们研究了确定电力序列解决方案的收敛性能的问题,并引入了时间变量的参数化的非变量的变换,这可以大大提高长时间视野的收敛速率。在某些情况下,近似度均匀地(及时)到任意大时间范围的真实(但未知)解决方案。精确和闭合形式近似解的能力简化了非-A.NE连续时间术语结构模型的估计,因为在典型估计过程中必须在许多DI.ERENT参数向量中解决键定价问题。

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