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Idiosyncratic Volatility Matters for the Cross-Section of Returns-- in More Ways than One!

机译:特殊波动性对返回的横截面的重要性 - 以比一个人更多的方式!

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This article re-examines the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-section of stock returns. Previous studies, using total realized returns as proxies for expected returns,have found ambiguous and conflicting relationships between expected idiosyncratic volatility and expected returns. We decompose idiosyncratic volatility into expected and unexpected idiosyncratic volatility, and use unexpected idiosyncratic volatility to control for unexpected returns so that the relationship between expected returns and expected idiosyncratic volatility can be observed with more clarity. We find expected idiosyncratic volatility to be significantly and positively related to expected returns. In addition, we find evidence suggesting that unexpected idiosyncratic volatility is positively related to unexpected returns and that this relationship is consistent with the option effect proposed by Merton (1974).
机译:本文重新审查了特质波动性与股票回报截面之间的关系。以前的研究,使用总实现的回报作为预期回报的代理,发现了预期的特质波动性和预期回报之间的含糊不清和相互矛盾的关系。我们将特殊的波动性分解为预期和意外的特质波动性,并使用意外的特质波动率来控制意外的返回,以便通过更多清晰度地观察到预期返回和预期的特质波动之间的关系。我们发现预期的特质波动与预期回报有着明显和正面的。此外,我们发现有证据表明意外的特殊波动性与意外回报呈正相关,而这种关系与Merton(1974)提出的选项效应一致。

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