FORECASTING MODEL OF HIGHWAY TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS BASED ON GRAY SYSTEM THEORY AND ITS APPLICATION

摘要

Traffic accidents have become a more and more important factor to restrict the development of economy and affect the safety of human. Gray System quests for the inner relation through the original data, this is an approach to find out the rule of data through other data. Highway traffic accident forecasting model based on Gray System uses some original data, through theory of Gray System, processing the data and modeling GM (1,1). Through the validation of actual data, error of GM (1,1) is minor, it can be used in actual forecasting.