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TOWARD A SYSTEM DYNAMICAL MODEL OF RUSSIAN NUCLEAR SUBMARINE DISMANTLEMENT BARRIERS

机译:朝向俄罗斯核潜水障碍障碍的系统动态模型

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摘要

System dynamics, a management modeling tool with roots in the disciplines of systems engineering, control theory, and nonlinear dynamics, has helped to resolve problems in diverse fields, such as engineering, time management, business development, manufacturing, and public health. For instance, managers have used system dynamics modeling to determine how to complete projects on time and under budget. Policymakers have employed such modeling to reason through the impact of their policies and to learn how to develop more effective policies to solve problems. However, such modeling can only complement, not replace, existing planning tools. For these primary reasons, system dynamics has relevance for understanding barriers to Russian nuclear submarine dismantlement. This paper will try to motivate development of a model that will aim toward resolving some important problems in decommissioned Russian nuclear submarine dismantlement. Because system dynamics modeling is an iterative process, the research presented here will point toward a prototypical model that will require further input and development.
机译:系统动态,系统工程,控制理论和非线性动力学学科的管理建模工具,有助于解决各种领域的问题,例如工程,时间管理,业务开发,制造业和公共卫生。例如,经理使用系统动态建模,以确定如何按时和预算完成项目。政策制定者通过对政策的影响,并学习如何制定更有效的解决问题的政策来雇用这种建模。但是,这种建模只能补充,不替换现有的规划工具。出于这些主要原因,系统动态具有了解俄罗斯核潜艇拆除的障碍。本文将试图激励发展模型,旨在解决退役俄罗斯核潜艇拆迁中的一些重要问题。由于系统动力学建模是一个迭代过程,所以这里提出的研究将指向一个原型模型,需要进一步的输入和开发。

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