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Stochastic analysis of jump-diffusions for financial log-return processes

机译:财务记录流程的跳跃扩散随机分析

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A jump-diffusion log-return process with log-normal jump amplitudes is presented. The probability density and other properties of the theoretical model are rigorously derived. This theoretical density is fit to empirical log-returns of Standard & Poor's 500 stock index data. The model repairs some failures found from the log-normal distribution of geometric Brownian motion to model features of realistic financial instruments: (1) No large jumps or extreme outliers, (2) Not negatively skewed such that the negative tail is thicker than the positive tail, and (3) Non-leptokurtic due to the lack of thicker tails and higher mode.
机译:提出了具有逻辑正常跳高振幅的跳转记录返回过程。理论模型的概率密度和其他性质严格地衍生。这种理论密度适合标准差距500股股票指数数据的经验记录返回。该模型修复了几何布朗运动的日志正态分布中发现的故障,以确定现实金融仪器的模型特征:(1)没有大的跳跃或极端异常值,(2)没有负面倾斜,使负尾厚度比正厚度厚尾巴,(3)非溶渗漏由于缺乏较厚的尾部和更高的模式。

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