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ANTHROPOGENIC IMPACTS ON THE FORMATION OF FLASH FLOODS AND MEASURES FOR THEIR COMPENSATION

机译:人为对溢流洪水的形成和措施的影响

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During the 1990s, frequent occurrences of disastrous floods throughout the world have motivated experts, journalists, politicians, citizens and others to identify reasons for the formation of these floods. Even among experts the reasoning seems fairly subjective at times. Often, under the actual impression of catastrophic damages, basic process understanding gets lost and is replaced by all kinds of irrational assignments of guilt and responsibilities. Some publications and media even suppose that such factors as urbanisation are more important than rainfall for the formation of rare flood events. Quite astonishing is the criticism uttered by individuals and representatives of communities hit by flood damages, even though they have settled, more or less consciously, in the areas endangered by high flood risk, e.g. on flood plains. Yet it has to be clearly remembered that except in few cases, floods are caused by extreme rainfall events. However, anthropogenic impacts related to land use have an influence on the intensity of flood discharge. It must be remembered that each flood event has its own set of causes, which can be categorised as anthropogenic and natural event dependent (meteorology) and event independent. In this paper, results of a model based sensitivity analysis will be presented with respect to quantifying these impacts on floods. The model structure provides an opportunity to consider anthropogenic impacts like land use changes and river training. Some control measures, which appeared suitable to compensate for the anthropogenic impacts, were applied in two case studies.
机译:在20世纪90年代,全世界经常出现灾难性的洪水,有动力的专家,记者,政治家,公民和其他人,以确定形成这些洪水的原因。即使在专家之中,推理似乎有时候非常主观。通常,在灾难性损害的实际印象下,基本的过程理解丢失,被各种无罪和责任分配所取代。一些出版物和媒体甚至假设城市化的因素比降雨更重要,以形成稀有洪水事件。相当令人惊讶的是个人和洪水损失的社区代表发出的批评,即使他们已经在高洪水风险濒临危及的地区已经落户,或多或少地定居,例如,他们已经解决了。在洪水平原上。然而,必须清楚地记住,除了在少数情况下,洪水是由极端降雨事件引起的。然而,与土地使用有关的人为影响对洪水排放的强度有影响。必须记住,每个洪水事件都有自己的一组原因,可以归类为人类学和自然事件依赖(气象)和事件独立。在本文中,将关于量化这些影响的基于模型的敏感性分析结果。模型结构提供了考虑土地利用变化和河流训练等人为影响的机会。在两个案例研究中应用了适合补偿人为影响的一些控制措施。

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