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Analytical Approach to Evaluate Uncertainty in Discharged Inventory Estimates at the Hanford Site-19012

机译:评估HANFORD SITE-19012出境库存估计不确定性的分析方法

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Many waste sites (<400) located within the Central Plateau portion of the Hanford Site received liquid discharges during the nuclear weapons material production mission (1944-1988). The Hanford Soil Inventory Model (SIM) is developed to quantitatively evaluate the discharged inventory for important radionuclides and chemicals at a given waste site to support fate and transport modeling of contaminants. An analytic approach was developed to estimate inventory and associated uncertainty. The approach was implemented for SIM and compared to a prior stochastic implementation applying a Monte-Carlo sampling approach. The analytic approach provides exact mean and variance results and the run times are much faster compared to the Monte-Carlo sampling approach. With the improved solution method using the analytical approach, it is feasible to run inventory updates and reduce associated uncertainty ranges.
机译:许多废物网站(<400)位于汉福德站点的中央高原部分内,在核武器材料生产代表团(1944-1988)期间获得了液体排放。开发了Hanford土壤库存模型(SIM),以定量评估给定废物位点的重要放射性核素和化学物质的出院库存,以支持污染物的命运和运输建模。开发了一种分析方法来估算库存和相关的不确定性。该方法是为SIM实施的,与应用蒙特卡罗采样方法的先前随机实施相比。分析方法提供了精确的均值和方差结果,与Monte-Carlo采样方法相比,运行时间要快得多。通过使用分析方法的改进解决方法,可以运行库存更新并减少相关的不确定性范围是可行的。

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