Economic and Mathematical Modelling for Evaluation of Potential Recreational Forest Utilization

摘要

The need to identify the potential of recreational forest management as one of the priority development courses of the tourist and recreational industry. Based on studies of domestic and foreign scientists, it was established that the potential of recreational forest management is a four-component phenomenon and includes a resource-based, economic, social and innovation and investment components. Considering this aspect, a method of economic evaluation of the potential of recreational forest management was proposed, based on taxonomic analysis methods for economic and mathematical modelling of integral indicator of the potential level of recreational forest management. This method was tested by the example of the recreation area of the Western Ukrainian region. It was determined that the integral indicator of the level of potential of forest management potential at the investigated sites is low. Its main reserves are to improve its economic, innovation and investment component, but it is necessary to maintain a high level of resource and social component. Measures and ways to increase the level of recreational forestry potential are proposed.