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Chaotic effect of coal consumption on economic growth in the USA

机译:煤炭消费对美国经济增长的混沌影响

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In this study, we attempt to test chaotic behavior of selected the variables and to determine chaotic relation between economic growth and coal consumption for the period from January, 1973 to March, 2018 in the USA by using Largest Lyapunov Exponents, Chaotic Causality perspectives. In this regard, firstly, it is aimed to identify nonlinear pattern of economic growth and coal consumption by BDS test. And secondly, it is purposed to determine chaotic behaviour of the analyzed series by Lyapunov Exponent. Further, chaotic causality is analyzed for this period. The analysis results demonstrate that coal consumption fluctuations have crucial effects on the USA's economic growth in the long term.
机译:在这项研究中,我们试图测试所选变量的混沌行为,并通过使用最大的Lyapunov指数,混乱的因果角度来确定2018年1月至2018年3月至2018年3月的经济增长和煤炭消费之间的混沌关系。在这方面,首先,旨在通过BDS测试识别经济增长和煤炭消耗的非线性模式。其次,它被用来确定由Lyapunov指数分析的分析系列的混沌行为。此外,在此期间分析混沌因果关系。分析结果表明,煤炭消费波动对长期对美国经济增长的影响至关重要。

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