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ESTIMATING THE CROSS-PRICE ELASTICITY OF REGULAR GASOLINE WITH RESPECT TO THE PRICE OF PREMIUM GASOLINE

机译:估算常规汽油相对于优质汽油价格的跨价弹性

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Demand for gasoline is one of the more intensively researched topics in energy economics. Many studies using a variety of methods have been carried out to improve the accuracy of the findings. Interestingly, there has yet to be any studies that attempt to determine the substitutability between gasoline of different grades. Such knowledge is needed to be able to examine the inefficiency caused by a fuel pricing policy that has a different subsidy rate for different grades of gasoline. Most studies in the literature treat regular, midgrade and premium gasoline as a single commodity, while diesel and ethanol are occasionally treated as substitutes. We have found only two demand studies, Fullerton et al. (2015) using Mexican data and Hastings et al. (2013) using U.S. data, that consider regular and premium gasoline as separate products. However, neither attempts to estimate the cross-price elasticity. The contribution of this essay is to build upon and improve the one study we found (Fullerton et al. 2015) that estimates gasoline demand own-price elasticities by grade for Mexico. We improve on their seminal work by specifically estimating both own and cross-price elasticities for regular gasoline. We are also able to increase the sample size and will perform much more substantive statistical testing including tests for structural change, adjustments for seasonality, and tests for stationarity and cointegration. Further, we test the assumption that the prices set by the government are exogenous because the government might respond to market conditions. The cross-price elasticities between regular and premium gasoline is found to be 0.875, which confirms high substitutability among gasoline with different grades.
机译:对汽油的需求是能源经济学中更集中的主题之一。已经进行了许多使用各种方法的研究,以提高研究结果的准确性。有趣的是,还有任何研究试图确定不同等级的汽油之间的可替代性。需要这些知识,以便能够检查由不同等级的汽油等级的燃料定价政策造成的效率低下。大多数研究文献中的研究常规,中间和高级汽油作为单一的商品,而柴油和乙醇偶尔将被视为替代品。我们发现了两个需求研究,Fullerton等人。 (2015)使用墨西哥数据和Hastings等。 (2013)使用美国数据,考虑定期和高级汽油作为单独的产品。然而,既不试图估计跨价格弹性。本文对我们发现的一项研究(Fullerton等,2015)的一项研究估计墨西哥等级,估计汽油需求自己的价格。我们通过专门估算普通汽油的自身和跨价格弹性来改善他们的精彩作品。我们还能够提高样品大小,并将表现出更多的实质性统计测试,包括用于结构变化的测试,季节性调整以及实向性和协整的测试。此外,我们测试了政府所设定的价格的假设,因为政府可能会响应市场条件。常规和高级汽油之间的码级弹性是0.875,其在汽油中具有不同等级的汽油之间的高替代性。

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