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Bilateral Electricity Market Model using Conjectural Variation Equilibria and Hierarchical Optimization

机译:双边电力市场模型采用猜测变化均衡和分层优化

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In liberalized electricity markets utilities have incentives to manage their positions in the market and they have considerable interests in making decisions to reduce the risks and modifying several strategies to maximize their profit. In such electricity markets all the participants are responsible for their decisions; therefore various modelling techniques such as optimization, simulation and equilibrium methods are introduced to manage the risks of participating in electricity markets, especially in an environment where participants compete in both spot market bidding and bilateral contract trading. Equilibrium models using a Conjectural Variation (CV) approach to optimize the participants' behaviors in oligopsonistic and oligopolistic market frameworks have been represented in this paper. This conjecture is a belief or estimation of a player, which can be formulized as a rival's sensitivity response to changes in output of each firm. This paper reviews the UK electricity market (BETTA) as a bilateral electricity market structure, analyses the conjectural equilibrium formula for both generation and demand sides of the market also shows how to determine the bilateral market equilibrium point based on Conjectural Variation method and Direct-Search optimization method in a hierarchical algorithm.
机译:在自由化电力市场中,公用事业公司在市场中管理其职位,他们对决定减少风险并修改几项策略来最大化其利润的策略具有相当大的兴趣。在这种电力市场中,所有参与者都对他们的决定负责;因此,引入了各种建模技术,例如优化,仿真和均衡方法,以管理参与电力市场的风险,特别是在参与者在现货市场竞标和双边合同交易中竞争的环境中。在本文中,使用了使用推测变异(CV)方法来优化参与者和寡头垄断市场框架中的均衡模型。该猜想是对玩家的信念或估计,可以作为对每个公司输出变化的竞争对手的敏感性响应。本文审查了英国电力市场(BETTA)作为双边电力市场结构,分析了市场上两代和需求方面的猜测均衡公式还展示了如何基于试剂变异方法和直接搜索确定双边市场均衡点层次算法中的优化方法。

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