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The Impact of News Media and Affect in Financial Markets

机译:新闻媒体的影响和影响金融市场的影响

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摘要

Literature on financial analysis is increasingly focused on what market participants do with information on price changes and whether all participants get the same price influencing information. The efficient market hypothesis first posed by Eugene Fama says all influential information is incorporated into price. Doubts and limitations of this theory have been expressed, leading Fama to accept a weak form of efficiency in financial markets. A variety of data such as key announcements, trading volume, consumer surveys and qualitative information like sentiment and affect may contain information not accounted for in price. For such qualitative information and news media, the challenge is in collating, processing, and aggregating this information with traditional financial time series. The influence of news media, quantified by computing methods, is not definitively described by economic theory. As such, we rely on inferences made from the modelling of the data to evaluate any potential explanatory power. To assess whether the information from news media is fully incorporated into price, we use six different statistical models and evaluate a proxy for news information against that of returns for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and New York Stock Exchange trading volume.
机译:财务分析的文献越来越关注市场参与者与价格变化的信息有什么关系,以及所有参与者是否获得相同的价格影响信息。 Eugene Fama首次提出的高效市场假设表示所有有影响力的信息纳入价格。疑虑和局限性已被表达,领导FAMA在金融市场中接受弱效率。各种数据,如关键公告,交易量,消费者调查和情绪和影响的定性信息可能包含未计算的信息。对于此类定性信息和新闻媒体,挑战是通过传统的金融时间序列进行整理,处理和汇总此信息。通过计算方法量化的新闻媒体的影响并不明确地通过经济理论描述。因此,我们依赖于数据建模提出的数据来评估任何潜在的解释性力。为评估新闻媒体的信息是否完全纳入价格,我们使用六种不同的统计模型,并评估了新闻信息的代理,以防止道琼斯工业平均水平和纽约证券交易所交易量的回报。

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