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THE CONFIDENCE INTERVALS: A DIFFICULT MATTER, EVEN FOR EXPERTS

机译:置信区间:甚至是专家们的难题

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摘要

We present the results of a research whose purpose was to find out what a sample of experts (statisticians and statistics university professors) and university students understood exactly by confidence intervals. To this end, a questionnaire was answered by 41 experts and 297 students. The results show that both, students and professors, possess misconceptions regarding confidence intervals. The conception that these intervals contain sample means or single values of the population instead of possible parameter values, and the interpretation of significance levels as a measure of certainty, without any frequency referent, were found to be the most generalized misconceptions.
机译:我们介绍了一项研究的结果,其目的是找出专家样本(统计人员和统计大学教授)和大学生完全通过置信区间理解的样本。为此,41名专家和297名学生回答了调查问卷。结果表明,两者,学生和教授都有关于置信区间的误解。这些间隔包含样本装置或群体的单个值而不是可能的参数值的概念,以及显着级别作为确定性的衡量标准的解释,没有任何频率指称是最广泛的误解。

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