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The Long-Run Relationship between Share Prices,Dividends and Retained Earning Evidence from Pakistan Economy

机译:来自巴基斯坦经济的股价,股息和保留盈利证据之间的长期关系

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This paper is an attempt to examine the short and long run relationship among share prices,dividends and retained earning in Pakistan economy.The time-series econometric techniques are applied to the annual data for the period 1970 to 2006.An important feature of our analysis is the use of tests for unit roots and Johansen cointegration and ECM.Johansen cointegration has a number of advantages over the traditional approaches of causality.Certain characteristics of the Pakistani experience suggest that there is a stable long run relationship.Radical changes in dividends and retained earning have significantly affected the movement in the share prices.Financial liberalization and reforms started in early 1990s,as part of economic reforms has a very strong net effect on the share prices.It means that stock market is too much sensitive and volatile to financial liberalization in emerging economies.We find that a long-run relationship exists among share prices (SP),dividends (DIV) and retained earning (RE).
机译:本文试图在巴基斯坦经济中审查股价,股息和保留收入之间的短期和长期运行关系。时间序列的计量经济技术适用于1970年至2006年期间的年度数据。我们分析的重要特征是使用单位根和约翰森协整的测试和ECM.Johansen协整对传统因果关系方法的一些优势。巴基斯坦经验的特点表明,股息的稳定性变化并保留了收入对股价的运动显着影响了股价的运动。金融自由化和改革在20世纪90年代初开始,作为经济改革的一部分,对股价具有很强的净效应。它意味着股票市场对金融自由化来说太敏感和挥发性在新兴经济体中。我们发现股价(SP),股息(DIV)和RETAI中存在长期关系ned收入(重新)。

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