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Potential Passenger Flow Prediction: A Novel Study for Urban Transportation Development

机译:潜在客流预测:城市交通发展的新型研究

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Recently, practical applications for passenger flow prediction have brought many benefits to urban transportation development. With the development of urbanization, a real-world demand from transportation managers is to construct a new metro station in one city area that never planned before. Authorities are interested in the picture of the future volume of commuters before constructing a new station, and estimate how would it affect other areas. In this paper, this specific problem is termed as potential passenger flow (PPF) prediction, which is a novel and important study connected with urban computing and intelligent transportation systems. For example, an accurate PPF predictor can provide invaluable knowledge to designers, such as the advice of station scales and influences on other areas, etc. To address this problem. we propose a multi-view localized correlation learning method. The core idea of our strategy is to learn the passenger flow correlations between the target areas and their localized areas with adaptive-weight. To improve the prediction accuracy, other domain knowledge is involved via a multi-view learning process. We conduct intensive experiments to evaluate the effectiveness of our method with real-world official transportation datasets. The results demonstrate that our method can achieve excellent performance compared with other available baselines. Besides, our method can provide an effective solution to the cold-start problem in the recommender system as well, which proved by its outperformed experimental results.
机译:最近,客流预测的实际应用为城市交通发展带来了许多益处。随着城市化的发展,运输经理的真实需求是在一个从未计划的一个城市地区建造一个新的地铁站。当局对建造新站之前的未来通勤者的图片感兴趣,并估计它会如何影响其他领域。在本文中,该具体问题被称为潜在的客流(PPF)预测,这是与城市计算和智能运输系统相关的新颖和重要研究。例如,准确的PPF预测器可以向设计师提供宝贵的知识,例如站点的建议和对其他领域的影响等来解决这个问题。我们提出了一种多视图局部相关学习方法。我们的策略的核心思想是学习目标区域与其局部区域之间的乘客流相关性,具有自适应重量。为了提高预测准确性,通过多视图学习过程涉及其他域知识。我们进行密集实验,以评估我们对现实世界官方交通数据集的方法的有效性。结果表明,与其他可用基线相比,我们的方法可以实现出色的性能。此外,我们的方法也可以为推荐系统中的冷启动问题提供有效的解决方案,这通过其表现优于实验结果。

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