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MEETING DEMAND CHALLENGES OF AN EMERGING LNG MARKET: INDIA

机译:满足新兴液化天然气市场的需求挑战:印度

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Over the last decade, steep economical growth has positioned India as one of the major developing economies in the world. To match up the CAGR of 7-8% p.a. with similar increase in energy consumption, India needs uninterrupted, economical viable & clean fuel supplies. Over next years, there will be substantial increase in natural gas demand from power, fertilizer and industrial sectors. In view of lack of sufficient indigenous supply options to mitigate the growing demand-supply gap, LNG is bound to play pivotal role. Presently, India is 6th largest LNG importer, importing 13.5 MMTPA. Ongoing development of required infrastructure such as LNG regasification terminals and natural gas pipeline in the country is further strengthening the development of LNG market in India. India's regasification capacity of 13.5 MMTPA is expected to go up to 47.50 MMTPA by 2015-16 whereas gas transmission pipeline of 9000 KM is also expected to reach around 15000 by 2016. This growing demand is constrained by a major challenge in terms of price acceptability of LNG by various sectors. While at a price point, there is enormous demand of LNG, it vanishes at very fast pace with increase in LNG prices. The major challenge lies in structuring and tying up LNG which can meet the Suppliers expectation on one side and also meet Customers price expectations on other side. India is undoubtedly emerging as a major LNG market of the future to attain the desired sustainable growth of Indian economy and is likely to be 3rd largest importer of LNG by 2020. India is the 5th largest energy consumer at present accounting for more than 4% of world consumption. By 2025, it is expected that China and India will emerge as biggest energy consumers after US. The average would primary energy consumption growth rate in last decade has been 2.4%. For Asia the growth has been around 5.61%, while for India was around 5.88%. As per Exxon Mobil's Energy Outlook, the world population is expected to grow from 7bn to 9bn by 2040. Increased population would naturally result in increased energy requirement and India is likely to be the most populous country post 2030. While the per-capita Energy Consumption of India at present is almost half the global average i.e. 0.8 mtoe vis-a vis 1.8 mtoe, with the rising income levels along with growth in Indian Economy, the per capita energy consumption is likely to see a two-fold increase in next 10 years.
机译:在过去的十年中,陡峭的经济增长使印度定位为世界上主要的发展中经济体之一。匹配7-8%p.a.由于能源消耗增加,印度需要不间断,经济的可行和清洁燃料供应。在明年,电力,肥料和工业部门的天然气需求将大幅增加。鉴于缺乏足够的土着供应选择来减轻不断增长的需求差距,LNG必然会发挥枢轴作用。目前,印度是第六大LNG进口商,进口13.5 MMTPA。持续发展所需的基础设施,如LNG再溶液终端和国家天然气管道正在进一步加强印度LNG市场的发展。预计2015-16截至2015-16岁的印度预算能力为13.5 mmtpa,达到2015年至2015年的燃气传输管道,也预计到2016年的燃气输送管道也达到15000左右。这种日益增长的需求受到价格可接受性方面的主要挑战的限制液化天然气。虽然在价格点,LNG的需求巨大,但随着液化天然气价格的增加,它会在非常快速的步伐中消失。主要挑战在于构建和捆绑液化天然气,可以在一方面满足供应商的期望,并在其他方面满足客户的价格预期。印度无疑是由于未来的主要液化天然气市场,以实现印度经济的预期可持续增长,并且可能是2020年的第三大进口国。印度是目前占4%以上的第5大能源消费者世界消费。到2025年,预计中国和印度将成为我们最大的能源消费者。过去十年的平均能源消费增长率为2.4%。对于亚洲,增长率在5.61%左右,而印度约为5.88%。根据埃克森美孚的能源前景,预计2040年的世界人口将从70亿到9亿日增长。增加的人口自然会导致能源需求增加,印度可能是2030年最多的国家。虽然人均能源消耗目前印度几乎是全球平均水平的一半,即0.8 MTOE Vis-A 5.8 MTOE,随着印度经济的增长,人均收益率随着印度经济的增长,可能会看到未来10年的两倍增加。

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