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Decision Diagrams in Machine Learning: An Empirical Study on Real-Life Credit-Risk Data

机译:机器学习中的决策图:真实信用风险数据的实证研究

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One of the key decisions financial institutions have to make as part of their daily operations is to decide whether or not to grant a loan to an applicant. With the emergence of large-scale data-storing facilities, huge amounts of data have been stored regarding the repayment behavior of past applicants. It is the aim of credit scoring to analyze this data and build models that distinguish good from bad payers using characteristics such as amount on savings account, marital status, purpose of loan, etc. Many classification techniques have been suggested to build credit-scoring models. Especially neural networks have in recent years received a lot of attention. However, while they are generally able to achieve a high predictive accuracy rate, the reasoning behind how they reach their decisions is not readily available, which hinders their acceptance by practitioners. Therefore, in [1], we have proposed a two-step process to open the neural network black box which involves: (1) extracting rules from the network; (2) visualizing this rule set using an intuitive graphical representation, such as decision tables or trees.
机译:金融机构的一个主要决策之一必须作为日常行动的一部分,决定是否向申请人提供贷款。随着大规模数据储存设施的出现,已经存储了巨额数据,就过去申请人的还款行为已经存储。这是信用评分的目的来分析区分使用特性从坏的好纳税人如许多分类技术已经提出要建立信用评分模型上金额的储蓄账户,婚姻状况,贷款用途等这些数据,建立模型。特别是神经网络近年来受到了很多关注。然而,虽然它们通常能够实现高预测的准确率,但它们背后的推理是如何达到决策的,而且没有容易获得,这阻碍了他们被从业者的接受。因此,在[1]中,我们提出了一个两步的过程来打开神经网络黑匣子,涉及:(1)从网络中提取规则; (2)使用直观的图形表示可视化此规则集,例如决策表或树木。

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