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Simulation of Complex Problems: Promises Pitfalls - (PPT)

机译:复杂问题的模拟:承诺和陷阱 - (PPT)

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Document Conceptual & Data Collection Phase. Conduct Basic Model Tests - Include as many "sensitivity" tests as resources permit. Analyze Data And Results - Look for trends which are "counter-intuitive" - These are often the key to the behavior of the system. Complete Any Gaps In Simulation. Explore Alternative Routes To Solve Problem. Get Peer Reviews (As Often As Possible) - Assume you are the best (but others may have better information). Use "Best Possible" Graphics You Can Afford - Keeps your manager and funding agency happy.
机译:文档概念和数据收集阶段。进行基本模型测试 - 包括作为资源许可证的许多“敏感性”测试。分析数据和结果 - 寻找“反向直观”的趋势 - 这些往往是系统行为的关键。填写模拟中的任何空隙。探索解决问题的替代路线。获得同行评审(尽可能频繁) - 假设您是最好的(但其他人可能有更好的信息)。您可以使用“最佳”图形 - 可以保留您的经理和资金机构的快乐。

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