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Errors and Uncertainty in Ore Reserve Estimates -- Operator Beware

机译:矿石储备估算中的错误和不确定性 - 运营商要当

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Ore Reserves are key mining company assets and their reliable estimation is crucial for both feasibility studies and the day to day operation of a mine. The reserve is based on the Mineral Resource after the application of certain technical and economic parameters. Engineering aspects of reserve estimation can be accurately determined to +-10 per cent, however the majority of project risk will revolve around the resource. A final Ore Reserve generally contains a set of figures quoted without reference to its potential errors. Rarely are overall confidence limits quoted and, if they are, they often do not take into account many of the factors that cause uncertainty in the grade and tonnage estimates. There is thus an unquantifiable risk, which the operator should be aware of. This paper presents a review of the possible sources of error that might occur during the various phases of an exploration and estimation programme which are carried through into the Ore Reserve and hence mine design.
机译:矿石储量是关键矿业公司资产,其可靠的估计对于可行性研究以及矿井的日常运行至关重要。该储备基于应用某些技术和经济参数后的矿产资源。储备估计的工程方面可以准确地确定为+ -10%,但大多数项目风险将围绕资源旋转。最终的矿石储备通常包含一组引用的图,而不引用其潜在的错误。很少引用整体置信范围,如果是,如果是,他们往往没有考虑到造成成绩和吨位估算中不确定性的许多因素。因此,运营商应该知道的风险不足风险。本文介绍了可能发生在勘探和估计计划的各个阶段可能发生的错误源的审查,该勘探和估计计划通过进入矿石储备来进行矿石储备和矿井设计。

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