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Extracting driving signals from non-stationary time series

机译:从非静止时间序列提取驱动信号

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We propose a simple method for the reconstruction of slow dynamics perturbations from non-stationary time series records. The method traces the evolution of the perturbing signal by simultaneously learning the intrinsic stationary dynamics and the time dependency of the changing parameter. For this purpose, an extra input unit is added to a feedforward artificial neural network and a suitable error function minimized in the training process. Testing of our algorithm on synthetic data shows its efficacy and allows extracting general criteria for applications on real-world problems. Finally, a preliminary study of the well-known sunspot time series recovers particular features of this series, including recently reported changes in solar activity during last century.
机译:我们提出了一种简单的方法,可以从非静止时间序列记录重建慢动力学扰动。该方法通过同时学习内在静止动力学和改变参数的时间依赖性来追踪扰动信号的演变。为此目的,额外的输入单元被添加到前馈人工神经网络和训练过程中最小化的合适的误差函数。我们对合成数据算法的测试显示了其功效,并允许提取对现实问题的应用程序的一般标准。最后,对众所周知的太阳黑子时间序列初步研究恢复了本系列的特殊特征,包括最近报告了上世纪太阳能活动的变化。

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