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Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems using approximate Bayesian computation based on a sequential Monte Carlo sampler

机译:基于顺序蒙特卡罗采样器的近似贝叶斯计算识别非线性动力系统

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The Bayesian approach is well recognised in the structural dynamics community as an attractive approach to deal with parameter estimation and model selection in nonlinear dynamical systems. In the present paper, one investigates the potential of approximate Bayesian computation employing sequential Monte Carlo (ABC-SMC) sampling [1] to solve this challenging problem. In contrast to the classical Bayesian inference algorithms which are based essentially on the evaluation of a likelihood function, the ABC-SMC uses different metrics based mainly on the level of agreement between observed and simulated data. This alternative is very attractive especially when the likelihood function is complex and cannot be approximated in a closed form. Moreover, this flexibility allows one to use new features from either the temporal or the frequency domains for system identification. To demonstrate the practical applicability of the ABC-SMC algorithm, two illustrative examples are considered in this paper.
机译:结构动态社区中的贝叶斯方法充分认识到了处理非线性动力系统中的参数估计和模型选择的吸引力方法。在本文中,一个人研究了采用序贯蒙特卡罗(ABC-SMC)采样的近似贝叶斯计算的潜力[1]以解决这一具有挑战性的问题。与基本上基于似然函数的评估基本上基于似然函数的古典贝叶斯推理算法相反,ABC-SMC主要基于观察和模拟数据之间的协议级别的不同度量。当似然函数复杂并且不能以封闭形式近似时,这种替代方案非常有吸引力。此外,这种灵活性允许人们从时间或频率域中使用新功能以进行系统识别。为了证明ABC-SMC算法的实际适用性,本文考虑了两个说明性示例。

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