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Sensitivity analysis of an Advanced Gas-cooled Reactor control rod model

机译:高级气冷反应器控制杆模型的敏感性分析

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A model has been made of the primary shutdown system of an Advanced Gas-cooled Reactor nuclear power station. The aim of this paper is to explore the use of sensitivity analysis techniques on this model. The two motivations for performing sensitivity analysis are to quantify how much individual uncertain parameters are responsible for the model output uncertainty, and to make predictions about what could happen if one or several parameters were to change. Global sensitivity analysis techniques were used based on Gaussian process emulation; the software package GEM-SA was used to calculate the main effects, the main effect index and the total sensitivity index for each parameter and these were compared to local sensitivity analysis results. The results suggest that the system performance is resistant to adverse changes in several parameters at once.
机译:一种模型是由先进的气冷反应堆核电站的主要关机系统制成的。本文的目的是探讨在该模型上使用灵敏度分析技术。用于执行敏感性分析的两个动机是量化个体不确定参数对模型输出不确定性的负责,并且如果要改变一个或多个参数,则会对可能发生的内容进行预测。基于高斯工艺仿真使用全局敏感性分析技术;软件包GEM-SA用于计算每个参数的主要效果,主要效果指数和总灵敏度指数,并将其与局部灵敏度分析结果进行比较。结果表明,系统性能抵抗多次参数的不利变化。

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