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human capacity of absolute and relative judgements and optimism bias

机译:人类绝对和相对判断的能力和乐观偏见

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Although humans are generally good at relative judgements, we show consisten errors in terms of our perceptions of our own risk. Most of us see ourselves as destined for a better future than our perrs, with less chance of bad things (early heart attack, cancer) and more chance of good things (being very successful, liking our job). This effect, called optimism bias, influences our risk perceptions, our adoption of precautions or risky behaviours. Optimism bias, it is suggested, arises from egocentric perceptions of our own behaviours, as well as motivated and cognitive errors.
机译:虽然人类通常擅长相对判断,但我们在我们对自己风险的看法方面表现出了错误。我们大多数人都认为自己是一个比我们的宠物更好的未来,较少的事情(早期心脏病发作,癌症)和更多机会的好东西(非常成功,喜欢我们的工作)。这种良好的效果称为乐观偏见,影响我们的风险看法,我们采用预防措施或危险行为。乐观偏见,建议,从我们自己行为的自我监视以及激励和认知错误的看法。

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