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Sensitivity analysis for threshold decision making with bayesian belief networks

机译:贝叶斯信仰网络阈值决策的敏感性分析

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The probability assessments of a Bayesian belief network generally include inaccuracies. These inaccuratcies influence the reliability of the network's ouput. an integral part of investigating the output's reliability is to study its robustness. Robustness pertains to the extent to which varying the probability assessments of the network influences the ouput. It is studied by subjecting the network to a senitivity analysis. In this paper, we address the issue of robustness of a belief network's output in view of the threshold model for decision amking. We present a method for sensitivity analysis that provides for the computation of bounds between which a network's assessments can be varied without inducing a change in recommended decision.
机译:贝叶斯信仰网络的概率评估通常包括不准确。这些不准确性会影响网络的首字销的可靠性。调查输出可靠性的一个组成部分是研究其稳健性。鲁棒性涉及改变网络的概率评估的程度影响。通过对网络进行参见分析来研究。在本文中,考虑到决策安康的阈值模型,我们解决了信仰网络输出的稳健性问题。我们提出了一种敏感性分析方法,提供了在不引起建议决定的改变的情况下改变网络的评估之间的界限的计算。

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