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Revenue Maximization with a Single Sample

机译:用单个样本收入最大化

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We design and analyze approximately revenue-maximizing auctions in general single-parameter settings. Bidders have publicly observable attributes, and we assume that the valuations of indistinguishable bidders are independent draws from a common distribution. Crucially, we assume all valuation distributions are a priori unknown to the seller. Despite this handicap, we show how to obtain approximately optimal expected revenue — nearly as large as what could be obtained if the distributions were known in advance — under quite general conditions. Our most general result concerns arbitrary downward-closed single-parameter environments and valuation distributions that satisfy a standard hazard rate condition. We also assume that no bidder has a unique attribute value, which is obviously necessary with unknown and attribute-dependent valuation distributions. Here, we give an auction that, for every such environment and unknown valuation distributions, has expected revenue at least a constant fraction of the expected optimal welfare (and hence revenue). A key idea in our auction is to associate each bidder with another that has the same attribute, with the second bidder's valuation acting as a random reserve price for the first. Conceptually, our analysis shows that even a single sample from a distribution — the second bidder's valuation — is sufficient information to obtain near-optimal expected revenue, even in quite general settings.
机译:我们在一般的单参数设置中设计和分析了大约收入最大化拍卖。投标人具有公开可观察的属性,我们假设无法区分的投标人的估值是从共同分配中独立的。至关重要,我们假设所有估值分布都是卖方未知的先验。尽管如此,我们展示了如何获得大约最佳的预期收入 - 几乎可以大大,因为如果分布提前已知 - 在相当一般的条件下。我们最一般的结果涉及任意的下端闭合的单参数环境和估值分布,满足标准危险率条件。我们还假设没有出价者具有唯一的属性值,这显然是必要的,具有未知和属性相关的估值分布。在这里,我们拍卖,对于每个这样的环境和未知的估值分布,预期的收入至少是预期最佳福利的持续分数(并因此收入)。我们拍卖中的一个关键思想是将每个投标人与另一个具有相同属性的投标人联系起来,第二个投标人的估值是第一个估值作为随机储备价格。概念上,我们的分析表明,即使是分布的单个样本 - 第二个投标人的估值 - 即使在相当的一般设置中,也是获得近乎最佳预期收入的足够信息。

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