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Reflections on theory building and theory integration following a system dynamics approach

机译:系统动态方法思想对理论建设与理论集成的思考

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Conceptualization is a critical task in the development of system dynamics models, which starts early in the modeling process, and extends to later stages in the development of any system dynamics project. The procedures and characteristics of model conceptualization have striking parallels with the process of theory building as described in many different strands of literature. Considering also that the modeling process as a whole is an iterative process of comparing and contrasting data and current theories by means of a rigorous yet intuitive process, it seems appropriate to reflect on the modeling process as a theory building effort, which is the main purpose of this paper. In order to illustrate the differences between theory building approaches, the paper presents two examples of system-dynamics-based theory building efforts. Thinking of the model development work as a theory building process has the potential of bringing new insights to the conceptualization of system dynamics models, and to the criteria used to assess the suitability of our models. The paper concludes with the introduction of a set of criteria to assess good theories and with reflections on the further development of these criteria for model validation purposes.
机译:概念化是系统动态模型开发的关键任务,它在建模过程中开始,并且在任何系统动态项目的开发中延伸到稍后的阶段。模型概念化的程序和特征具有与理论建筑过程中的醒目相似,如许多不同的文献中所述。考虑到整体建模过程是通过严格但直观的过程比较和对比数据和电流理论的迭代过程,它似乎适合将建模过程视为理论建设努力,这是主要目的本文。为了说明理论建设方法之间的差异,本文呈现了基于系统动态的理论建设努力的两个示例。思考模型开发工作作为理论建设过程,有可能为系统动力学模型的概念化带来新的见解,以及用于评估模型适用性的标准。本文结束了介绍了一系列标准,以评估良好理论,并有关模型验证目的进一步发展这些标准的思考。

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