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ResiMod: A Model to Assist Facilitating Strategic Conversations in the Olifants River Catchment of South Africa

机译:RESIMOD:一种协助促进南非河流域战略对话的模型

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How can systemically-oriented simulation models be used to support climate change planning for water resources? This paper reports on an innovative approach to support climate change planning using a collaborative, integrative process based on system dynamics. The approach (called Collaborative Dynamic Modeling, or CoDyM) was piloted between 2015 and 2016 to support strategic planning and scenario thinking in a multi-stakeholder context in the Olifants River Catchment of South Africa. In the pilot study described in this paper (and in many similar contexts), planning for different scenarios of climate change remains particularly challenging given the many under-capacitated organisations. The model that was collaboratively developed in this context, called ResiMod, has three aims: (1) to integrate perspectives of multiple, diverse stakeholders; (2) to improve stakeholder understanding and increase the recognition of possible climate change impacts on the stakeholders' sectors; and (3) to uncover and communicate learning and management insights - through the model-building process and through the resulting simulations. The model itself is detailed in the paper along with the results, nested within a description of the broader process undertaken within the CoDyM pilot. By using a quantified simulation model as part of a collaborative process, the project team has begun facilitating cross-sectoral learning as a step towards fostering joint custodianship in the catchment.
机译:如何用于支持水资源的气候变化规划的系统化模拟模型?本文报告了一种通过基于系统动态的协作,一体化过程支持气候变化规划的创新方法。在2015年和2016年之间试图在2015年至2016年之间试行该方法,以支持南非橄榄河流域的多利益相关方环境中的战略规划和情景思考。在本文描述的试验研究中(在许多类似的背景下),鉴于许多有限的内容组织,对不同气候变化的不同情景的规划仍然特别具有挑战性。在此上下文中协同开发的模型,称为Resimod,有三个目标:(1)整合多个不同利益相关者的观点; (2)改善利益攸关方的理解,并提高对利益攸关方部门可能影响的影响; (3)通过模型建设过程并通过产生的模拟来揭示和传达学习和管理见解。该模型本身在论文中详述,结果,嵌套在CodyM试点中的更广泛的过程中。通过使用量化的模拟模型作为协作过程的一部分,项目团队开始促进跨部门学习作为促进集水部门联合托管的一步。

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