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Computing minimum and maximum reachability times in probabilistic systems

机译:计算概率系统中的最小和最大可达性时间

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A Markov decision process is a generalization of Markov chain in which both probabilistic and nondeterministic choice coexist. Given a Markov decision process with costs associated with the transitions and a set of target states, the stochastic shortest path problem consists in computing the minimum expected cost of a control strategy that guarantees to reach the target. In this paper, we consider the classes of stochastic shortest path problems in which the costs are all non-negative, or all non-positive. Previously, these two classes of problems could be solved only under the assumption that the policies that minimize or maximize the expected cost also lead to the target with probability 1. This assumption does not necessarly hold for Markov decision processes that arise as model for distributed probabilistic systems. We present efficient methods for solving these two classes of problems without relying on additional assumptions. The methods are based on algorithms to transform the original problems into problems that satisfy the required assumptions. The methods lead to the effieient solution of two basic problems in the analysis of the reliability and performance of partially-specified systems: the computation of the minimum (or maximum) probability of reaching a target set, and the computation of the minimum (or maximum) expected time to reach the set.
机译:马尔可夫决策过程是马尔可夫链的概括,其中概率和非季化学选择共存。考虑到具有与转换和一组目标状态相关的成本的马尔可夫决策过程,随机最短路径问题包括计算保证到达目标的控制策略的最低预期成本。在本文中,我们考虑了随机最短路径问题的类别,其中成本均为非负数,或所有非正面。此前,这两个类问题可以仅在假设最小化或最大化预期成本的政策下解决了概率1的目标。此假设不需要持有作为分布式概率模型的马尔可夫决策过程。系统。我们提出了有效的方法来解决这两类问题而不依赖于额外的假设。该方法基于算法将原始问题转换为满足所需假设的问题。该方法导致两个基本问题的效果解决方案在分析部分指定系统的可靠性和性能方面:计算到达目标集的最小(或最大)概率,并计算最小值(或最大值) )预计时间到达集合。

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