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Assessing Supply Chain Robustness Through Stress Testing

机译:通过压力测试评估供应链鲁棒性

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Military logistics planning is a complex and time consuming process, and ultimately many factors can impact the devised plan. We have developed a way of assessing the robustness of a logistics plan and associated supply chain by considering the occurrence of disruptive negative events. These events may occur in isolation or simultaneously. Each event is associated with a plan variable and the impact of a negative event can then be assessed by measuring whether the modification of its associated variable causes any stockouts in the plan during simulation. By modifying any two variables simultaneously, we can identify the minimum values of those two variables, which in combination cause a stockout. These minimum values are called breakpoints, and a set of breakpoints is referred to as a breakpoint front. We have investigated various approaches of calculating or estimating breakpoint fronts, including brute force search, the Monte Carlo method, 2D binary search and the multi-objective optimization methods, SPEA2 and NSGA-II. Our experiments showed that 2D binary search performed best overall, due to its low computation time and accuracy in calculating a range of breakpoint fronts.
机译:军事物流规划是一种复杂和耗时的过程,最终许多因素会影响设计的计划。我们通过考虑发生破坏性负面事件的发生,制定了一种评估物流计划和相关供应链的稳健性的方式。这些事件可能在隔离或同时发生。每个事件与计划变量相关联,然后可以通过测量其相关变量的修改是否导致模拟期间的计划中的任何库存流量来评估负事件的影响。通过同时修改任意两个变量,我们可以识别这两个变量的最小值,其中组合导致库存输出。这些最小值称为断点,并且一组断点被称为断点前面。我们研究了计算或估算断点前沿的各种方法,包括蛮力搜索,蒙特卡罗方法,2D二进制搜索和多目标优化方法,SPEA2和NSGA-II。我们的实验表明,由于其计算时间和精度计算了一系列断点前沿,因此总体上表现了2D二进制搜索。

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