Short term electric load forecasting using an adaptively trained layered perceptron

摘要

The authors address electric load forecasting using artificial neural network (NN) technology. They summarize research for Puget Sound Power and Light Company. In this study, several structures for NNs are proposed and tested. Features extraction is implemented to capture strongly correlated variables to electric loads. The NN is compared to several forecasting models. Most of them are commercial codes. The NN performed as well as the best and most sophisticated commercial forecasting systems.