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A Black-Scholes Approach to Satisfying the Demand in a Failure-Prone Manufacturing System

机译:一名黑人学术方法,以满足失败易受制造系统的需求

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The goal of this paper is to use a financial model and a hedging strategy in a systems application. In particular, the classical Black-Scholes model, which was developed in 1973 to find the fair price of a financial contract, is adapted to satisfy an uncertain demand in a manufacturing system when one of two production machines is unreliable. This financial model together with a hedging strategy are used to develop a closed formula for the production strategies of each machine. The strategy guarantees that the uncertain demand will be met in probability at the final time of the production process. It is assumed that the production efficiency of the unreliable machine can be modeled as a continuous-time stochastic process. Two simple examples illustrate the result.
机译:本文的目标是在系统应用中使用金融模式和对冲策略。特别是,在1973年开发的经典黑人模型,以查找财务合同的公平价格,适用于当两台生产机器中的一个不可靠的时候满足制造系统中的不确定需求。该金融模式与对冲策略一起用于开发每台机器的生产策略的封闭式公式。该策略保证,在生产过程的最后一次概率中将满足不确定的需求。假设不可靠机的生产效率可以被建模为连续时间随机过程。两个简单的例子说明了结果。

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