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Estimation of state variable statistics in the presence of intermittent energy resources

机译:间歇性能源存在下状态变量统计的估计

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The utility industry is predicting an increase of renewable electrical energy resources into the existing power grid. Understanding the impacts associated with renewable energy penetration are vital for future network planning and operation. Using probabilistic uncertainty models for power injections of these resources, this paper uses their statistical distribution to determine corresponding distributions for network state variables. The Jacobian linearization matrix is determined using the Newton-Raphson power flow method, and the statistical distributions of state variables at all buses in a network are obtained from a linear transformation of the injection distribution function. With these distributions, first and second moments of state variables in a given network can be approximated.
机译:公用事业行业预测,现有电网中的可再生电能资源将会增加。了解与可再生能源渗透相关的影响对于将来的网络规划和运营至关重要。使用概率不确定性模型对这些资源进行功率注入,本文使用它们的统计分布来确定网络状态变量的相应分布。雅可比线性化矩阵是使用牛顿-拉夫逊(Newton-Raphson)潮流方法确定的,并且网络中所有总线上状态变量的统计分布都可以通过注入分布函数的线性变换获得。利用这些分布,可以估算给定网络中状态变量的第一和第二矩。

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