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Estimation of state variable statistics in the presence of intermittent energy resources

机译:间歇能源存在的状态变量统计估计

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The utility industry is predicting an increase of renewable electrical energy resources into the existing power grid. Understanding the impacts associated with renewable energy penetration are vital for future network planning and operation. Using probabilistic uncertainty models for power injections of these resources, this paper uses their statistical distribution to determine corresponding distributions for network state variables. The Jacobian linearization matrix is determined using the Newton-Raphson power flow method, and the statistical distributions of state variables at all buses in a network are obtained from a linear transformation of the injection distribution function. With these distributions, first and second moments of state variables in a given network can be approximated.
机译:本实用业预计将可再生电力资源增加到现有电网。了解与可再生能源渗透相关的影响对于未来的网络规划和操作至关重要。使用概率的不确定性模型进行这些资源的电力注入,本文使用统计分布来确定网络状态变量的相应分布。使用Newton-Raphson功率流方法确定Jacobian线性化矩阵,并且网络中所有总线处的状态变量的统计分布是从注射分布函数的线性变换获得的。利用这些分布,可以近似在给定网络中的状态变量的第一和第二矩。

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