Short-term wind power prediction based on time series analysis model

摘要

In this paper, three kinds of prediction models based on time series analysis method are studied. Largely the process of building the wind farm short-term power forecasting model is discussed, mainly including sequence preprocessing, model identification, model order judging, parameter estimation, model testing and so on. It focuses on wind power short-term generation forecasting combined with the specific example using time series method. The example demonstrates the effectiveness and usefulness of the model.