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Building a Greener EV Industry in China

机译:在中国打造绿色电动汽车产业

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OverviewThe paper consists of four parts.First, it introduces the brief history of electric vehicles (EVs) and different types of EVs in marketplace.The history of EVs dates back to nearly two centuries ago. The first EV was built in 1835 while the firstsuccessful and practical one was created in 1891. By the end of the 19th century, more than 4,000 EVs wereproduced in the US. Nevertheless, EVs became less popular after the mass production of gasoline-powered carsstarting from the 20th centrury. In the following decades, gasoline-powered cars kept developing and turned into themainstream means of transportation around the world. However, with growing environmental concerns and mountingoil price caused by oil embargo, EVs came into sight once again in the 1970s. Although there is a general title of EV,it can be divided into four types due to their different functional principles: hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-inhybrid vehicles (PHEV), battery electric vehicles (BEV) and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV).Second, it analyzes the current development and government policies towards EVs in China.In 2016, the global EV sales reached 750 thousand and the global EV stock was more than 2 million. EVs aremore prevailing and popular in Europe with highest ratio of EV consumption among all passenger light-duty vehicles(PLDVs). For instance, in 2016, EV sales accounted for 29% of PLDV sales in Norway and the number was 6.4% inNetherland, representing the top two countries concerning the ratio of EV sales. Moreover, Norway, the Netherlandsand the UK has announced that they are going to allow only EV sales by 2020s. China is also chasing the pace ofthose leading countries with regard to the development of EV industry. Even though the promotion of EVs in Chinastarted later than developed countires, Chinese EV consumption is undergoing fastest development in the worldthanks to positive government support. It took up 40% of global EV market sales and became the largest EVconsumption country in the world in 2016. In the meantime, China, surpassing the US, ranked as the number onecountry of EV stock and made up of one third of total global EV stock.Unlike EU countries and other developed countires such as Japan, China has focused on the promotion of BEVsinstead of HEVs and PHEVs since the incipient stage. China initiated the large-scale development of EVs in 2009,when the Chinese State Council passed a plan to carry out the electric cars strategy in both supply and demand sides.Under this strategy, China plans to meet the goal of 500,000 EV production and 5% market share of EV sales inthree years. However, the EV market sales increased by a 60% year-on-year growth to 75,000, accounting for merely0.85% of all the PLDV sales. Consequently, the Chinese government continues and enlarges the promotion of EVs.The Ministry of industry and information has enacted a new plan, which says EV sales should reach 20% of the totalPLDV sales by 2025. In order to accomplish this goal, the Chinese government is taking various measures. Thesuppoting policies by the government contain subsities, tax exemption and license plate incentives. Currently,consumers who purchase BEVs will obtain subsidies ranging from RMB 30,000-66,000 (roughly USD 4,620-10,163)from both the central and local goverments based on different mileage scales EVs can travel. In addition, BEVconsumers will be excempted from paying purchase tax. It is worth noting that the subsities and tax exemptionregulations are applicable for only domestic EV brands. In other words, those measures could stimulate both theproduction and sales of EVs within China. What’s more, BEV consumers will acquire license plates for free or withhigh probabilities. In many Chinese metropolis, such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, local governmentsimplemented purchase restrictions and license plate lotteries for conventional gasoline-powered cars in order tocontrol the rising number of vehicles and the execrating air conditions. Nevertheless, BEVs are exempt from thoseregulations and restrictions. In Beijing, citizens are able to buy a BEV directly without competing in the license platelotteries for conventional gasoline-powered vehicles, which has a 0.11% low success rate. Similarly, in Shanghai,where the licese plates can only be purchased by auction with prices no less than RMB 80,000 (approxikately USD12330), the local government provides additional 20,000 license plates every year for BEVs without any charge.Third, it tries to explain whether EVs in China are environmental friendly or not.The original intention of EV expansion in China is to reduce pollution and enhance air qualities. Indeed, theconsumption of oil will be lessened with the rising proportion of EV sales and ownership, it is not meeting the initialgoal as refer to environmental protection. It is true that the energy saved by EVs, especially BEVs is less thanconventional gasoline-powered vehicles when travelling on the road, the overall fossil fuel consumption andpollution is not lower than gasoline-powered cars if a whole industrial chain is taken into account. To begin with, thenon-green fact of EV is depend on current Chinese electricity structure. It is well known that certain amount ofenergy should be used to generate electricity, which is the fuel resource of electric cars. In China, coal is the primary resource within the energy mix to generate electricity, with 70% electricity generated by coal-fired power plants in2016. Other clean resources, such as nuclear, solar, hydro and wind make up only 29% in the total consumption offuels used to generate electricity. By contrast, in US, coal-fired power plants generated 34% of electricity in 2016while natural gas and nuclear accounted for 27% and 22% respectively. As for Norway, where 96.3% electricity wasbased on hydro power in 2016, achieved real environmental friendly from the electricity generation perspective.Coal, without any processings before burning in the coal-fired power plants, will impose very negative impact onenvironment when generate electricity. The pollutants emit by coal-fired power plants cover noxious fumes, such assulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide, and greenhouse gas. In 2015, the proportion of waste gas emissions by coal-firedpower plants among all the industrial waste gas emmisions was 30% in China. That is to say, electricity, which is thefuel resource of EVs, is not environmental friendly. Secondly, the promotion of EVs in current stage will lead toimbalanced environmental development among Chinese cities. At present, the EVs are comparatively prosperous inmetropolis. Meanwhile, coal-fired power plants are withdrawing from urban to rural areas. For instance, Beijing shutall the power plants based on coal in 2016 while the Togtoh coal-fired power plant located in inner Mongolia issupplying 1/4 of Beijing’s electricity. Consequently, the environment situation in metropolis is improving while theenvironment in rural area is exacerbating. In this way, the promotion of EVs in China will not be beneficial forenvironment from the nationwide angle. Finally, battery pollution is another negative environmental problemgenerated by EVs. China is still in the incipient stage of EV sales with most of the cars are equipped with newlyproducedlithium batteries. However, China is facing the first phase of massive battery decommissioning in eight toten years. The pollutants within abandoned batteries include cobalt, fluorine, ammonia-nitrogen wastewater andheavy metal wastewater. It will be a serious problem when recycling and dealing with those pollutants from wastebatteries in the near future.Fourth, this paper offers several suggestions for building a greener EV industry in China.In order to buid a greener EV industry in China, this paper proposes three suggestions. First of all, promotingPHEV instead of BEVs. As mentioned above, since the primary resource of electricity generation in China is coal,HEVs and PHEVs are more environmental friendly than BEVs. According to data, in California, the state with thehighest ratio of clean energy-generated electricity in the US, CO_2 emission by BEV is 100 grams/mile, which is onlyhalf of PHEV’s. Nevertheless, in the middle-west and southern states of the US, where coal is the primary electricityresource, CO_2 emission of PHEV is less than that of a BEV. Consequently, PHEVs are greener than BEVs if Chinasustains current electricity structure. Second, increasing the proportion of natural gas in the energy mix to generateelectricity. Natural gas power plants are more environmental friendly since the sulfur dioxide and smoke emissionsare nearly zero while the nitrogen oxide emission is only 1/10 of coal-fired power plants. However, the Chinesegovernment should solve the problem of natural gas price regime since natural gas is much more expensive than coal.Meanwhile, there is still a long way to go concerning the natural gas infrastructure constructions. Third, improvingclean coal technologies and enhancing efficiencies of coal-fired power plants. Based on energy production mix,China is rich in coal. It is not complying with national condition if China abandon the use of coal. Thus, how toutilize coal more efficient and more environmental friendly is the superior issue. Technologies concerning dustelimination, desulphurization, denitrification and waste water disposal should be applied to coal-fired power plantsin the current stage.MethodsThe paper adopted interdisciplinary research, case study and statistical analysis methods.ResultsBy researching on Chinese EV policies, the paper considers that EVs are not achieving the initial goal asimproving environment according to coal-based electricity structure and battery pollutions. Thus, in order to build agreener EV industry in China, the government should promote PHEV, increase natural gas to generate electricity andapply clean coal technologies.ConclusionsWith increasing enrironmental concerns and energy security considerations, people draw more attention to EVs.The EV sales and stocks keep increasing worldwidely, especially in EU countries. China, which has promoted EVsin recent years, is the most promising country concerning EV consumption. The Chinese government enacted variouspolicies, including subsities, tax exemption and license plate incentives, to support the EV development. Eventhough the initial goal of EV promotion by Chinese government is to improve environment, EVs in China are not asgreen as advertised if coal-based electricity structure, policy-caused imbalanced pollution among cities and batteryrecycling problems are taken into account. Consequently, several measures, covering promoting PHEV instead ofsolely BEV, increasing the use of natural gas for electricity generation and applying clean coal technologies in largescale,should be taken in order to build a greener EV industry in China.
机译:概述 本文分为四个部分。 首先,它介绍了电动汽车(EV)的简要历史以及市场上不同类型的EV。 电动汽车的历史可以追溯到近两个世纪前。第一辆电动汽车始建于1835年, 成功且实用的电动汽车创建于1891年。到19世纪末,已经有超过4,000辆电动汽车问世。 在美国生产。然而,在汽油车大规模生产后,电动汽车不再流行 从20世纪开始。在随后的几十年中,汽油动力汽车不断发展,并逐渐发展成为 世界各地的主流交通工具。但是,随着环境问题的日益严重和日益严重 由于石油禁运引起的油价上涨,电动汽车在1970年代再次出现。尽管有EV的总称, 由于其不同的功能原理,它可以分为四种类型:混合动力电动汽车(HEV),插电式 混合动力汽车(PHEV),电池电动汽车(BEV)和燃料电池电动汽车(FCEV)。 其次,它分析了中国目前针对电动汽车的发展和政府政策。 2016年,全球电动汽车销量达到75万辆,全球电动汽车存量超过200万辆。电动车是 在欧洲更为普遍和流行,在所有轻型乘用车中电动汽车消耗比例最高 (PLDV)。例如,2016年,电动汽车销量占挪威PLDV销量的29%,而该数字在2014年为6.4%。 荷兰,是电动汽车销量比重最大的两个国家/地区。此外,挪威,荷兰 英国已宣布,他们将在2020年代之前仅允许电动汽车销售。中国也在追赶 在电动汽车产业发展方面处于领先地位的国家。即使在中国推广电动汽车 起步时间比发达国家晚,中国的电动汽车消费正在经历世界上最快的发展 感谢政府的积极支持。占全球电动汽车市场销量的40%,成为最大的电动汽车 2016年是世界消费大国。与此同时,中国超过美国,位居第一 电动汽车库存的国家/地区,占全球电动汽车总库存的三分之一。 与欧盟国家和日本等其他发达国家不同,中国专注于推广电动汽车 从初期开始就不再使用混合动力汽车和插电式混合动力汽车。中国于2009年启动了电动汽车的大规模开发, 当中国国务院通过一项在供需双方实施电动汽车战略的计划时。 在此战略下,中国计划实现50万辆电动汽车的生产目标和5%的电动汽车销售市场份额的目标。 三年然而,电动汽车市场的销售额同比增长了60%,达到75,000,仅占 PLDV销量的0.85%。因此,中国政府继续并扩大了电动汽车的推广。 工业和信息部制定了一项新计划,其中规定电动汽车的销量应达到总销量的20% 到2025年PLDV的销量。为了实现这一目标,中国政府正在采取各种措施。这 政府的支持政策包括实体,免税和车牌激励措施。目前, 购买BEV的消费者将获得人民币30,000-66,000元(约合4,620-10,163美元)的补贴 中央和地方政府根据行驶里程数的不同而不同。此外,BEV 消费者将免交消费税。值得注意的是,该物质和免税 法规仅适用于国内电动汽车品牌。换句话说,这些措施可能会刺激 在中国生产和销售电动汽车。此外,BEV消费者将免费或通过以下方式获得车牌 高概率。在许多中国大都市,例如北京,上海和广州,地方政府 对常规汽油动力汽车实施了购买限制和车牌抽奖,以便 控制不断增加的车辆数量和执行中的空气状况。尽管如此,BEV却不受这些限制 规定和限制。在北京,市民无需购买牌照即可直接购买BEV 常规汽油驱动车辆的彩票,成功率低至0.11%。同样,在上海, 只能通过拍卖购买价格不低于80,000元人民币(约合USD)的虱子碟 12330),地方政府每年免费提供20,000个BEV车牌。 第三,它试图解释中国的电动汽车是否对环境友好。 在中国发展电动汽车的初衷是减少污染并提高空气质量。确实, 随着电动汽车销售和所有权比例的上升,石油消耗将减少,这不能满足最初的需求。 目标是指环境保护。的确,电动汽车可以节省能源,尤其是BEV小于 常规汽油动力车辆在道路上行驶时,化石燃料的总体消耗量和 如果将整个产业链都考虑在内,那么污染就不会低于汽油动力汽车。首先, 电动汽车的非绿色事实取决于当前的中国电力结构。众所周知,一定数量的 应该使用能源来发电,这是电动汽车的燃料资源。在中国,煤炭是能源结构中的主要能源来发电,其中燃煤电厂70%的电力来自美国。 2016年。其他清洁资源,例如核能,太阳能,水力和风能,仅占全球总消费量的29% 用于发电的燃料。相比之下,2016年,美国的燃煤电厂发电量占总发电量的34% 天然气和核能分别占27%和22%。至于挪威,那里的电力占96.3% 2016年以水力发电为基础,从发电角度实现了真正的环境友好。 煤炭在燃煤电厂中燃烧之前未经任何处理,将对煤炭产生非常不利的影响。 发电时的环境。燃煤电厂排放的污染物包括有毒烟雾,例如 二氧化硫和氮氧化物,以及温室气体。 2015年,燃煤产生的废气排放比例 在所有工业废气排放中,发电厂占30%。也就是说,电就是 电动汽车的燃料资源,对环境不利。其次,现阶段电动汽车的推广将导致 中国城市环境发展不平衡。目前,电动汽车在 都会。同时,燃煤电厂正在从城市撤向农村地区。例如,北京关门了 2016年所有以煤为基础的发电厂,而位于内蒙古的Togtoh燃煤发电厂是 供应北京电力的1/4。因此,大都市的环境状况正在改善,而 农村环境恶化。这样,在中国推广电动汽车将无益于 从全国范围来看环境。最后,电池污染是另一个负面的环境问题 由电动汽车产生。中国仍处于电动汽车销售的起步阶段,大多数汽车都配备了新生产的汽车。 锂电池。但是,中国正面临八到八年的大规模电池退役的第一阶段 十年。废弃电池中的污染物包括钴,氟,氨氮废水和 重金属废水。回收和处理废物中的污染物将是一个严重的问题 电池在不久的将来。 第四,本文为建立中国绿色电动汽车产业提供了一些建议。 为了构建中国绿色的电动汽车产业,本文提出了三个建议。首先,推广 PHEV,而不是BEV。如上所述,由于中国的主要发电资源是煤炭, 混合动力汽车和插电式混合动力汽车比BEV更环保。根据数据,在加利福尼亚州, 在美国清洁能源发电比例最高的情况下,BEV产生的CO_2排放量为100克/英里,仅 PHEV的一半。不过,在美国的中西部和南部各州,煤炭是主要电力 资源方面,PHEV的CO_2排放小于BEV的CO_2排放。因此,如果中国的话,PHEV比BEV更绿色 维持当前的电力结构。第二,增加天然气在能源结构中的比例以产生 电。由于二氧化硫和烟气的排放,天然气发电厂对环境更加友好 几乎为零,而氮氧化物的排放仅为燃煤电厂的1/10。但是,中国人 政府应该解决天然气价格制度的问题,因为天然气比煤炭贵得多。 同时,天然气基础设施建设还有很长的路要走。三,改进 清洁煤技术并提高燃煤电厂的效率。根据能源生产组合, 中国煤炭资源丰富。如果中国放弃使用煤炭,那是不符合国情的。因此,如何 更加有效地利用煤炭和提高环境友好性是首要问题。防尘技术 燃煤电厂应进行消除,脱硫,反硝化和废水处理 在当前阶段。 方法 本文采用跨学科研究,案例研究和统计分析方法。 结果 通过研究中国的电动汽车政策,本文认为电动汽车没有达到最初的目标,因为 根据煤电结构和电池污染改善环境。因此,以建立一个 为了使中国的电动汽车产业更绿色,政府应推广插电式混合动力汽车,增加天然气发电量, 应用清洁煤技术。 结论 随着越来越多的环境关注和能源安全考虑,人们越来越重视电动汽车。 电动汽车的销售和库存在全球范围内都在增长,特别是在欧盟国家。推动电动汽车发展的中国 近年来,它是电动汽车消费最有前途的国家。中国政府颁布了各种 支持电动汽车发展的政策,包括补贴,免税和车牌激励政策。甚至 尽管中国政府推广电动汽车的最初目标是改善环境,但中国的电动汽车并没有像现在这样。 如果以煤炭为基础的电力结构,政策导致的城市和电池之间的不平衡污染,则为绿色 考虑到回收问题。因此,有几项措施涵盖了推广插电式混合动力汽车,而不是 完全是BEV,增加了天然气的发电量,并大规模应用了清洁煤技术, 为了在中国建立绿色的电动汽车产业而应采取的措施。

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