A Decision-making Model under the Assumption of Insufficient Knowledge and Resource

摘要

The classical decision theory and the Markov decision model are not proper models of decision-making process of people in a realistic environment. Although some scholars from the field of management have been trying to construct heuristic-primed decision-making theory inspired from cognitive psychology, they have not reflect the principle of the heuristics-primed decision process described in cognitive science. This paper proposes a decision-making model under the assumption of insufficient knowledge and resource, and the beliefs, desire and Intention of the model are handled by the Non-Axiom Logic, which is the logic part of the Non-Axiomatic Reasoning System, NARS. The model was used to represent a firefighting process of a firefighting commander, and the testing cases have been correctly processed. The proposed model will provide a solution for building an improvisional decision-making model in the real environment.