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Prediction of Runway Occupancy Time and Runway Exit Distance with Feedforward Neural Networks

机译:前馈神经网络预测跑道占用时间和跑道出口距离

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Runway occupancy time is an essential parameter to estimate the performance of airport operations. With improvements in airport surface radar surveillance technology, estimating runway occupancy time and aircraft exit distance on runways is possible. Past studies have predicted runway occupancy times using traditional simulation-based methods aided with airport observations. However, there are not many attempts to use deep learning and more recent data science algorithms to predict runway occupancy times. This paper describes a neural network algorithm for predicting runway occupancy times for arrival flights at airports. The algorithms used to predict runway occupancy time are data-driven. The data employed in this study is extracted from two years of the Airport Surface Detection Equipment Model-X deployed at 37 airports in the United States. The algorithm's input layer is defined using estimated speed and acceleration parameters for individual aircraft operating at different airports. We studied the performance of our model for fourteen distinct aircraft types at eight different airports and the weighted average R-squared values of the regression analysis between observed and estimated values for our predicted runway occupancy time model was 0.9. The R-squared value for predicted exiting distances was 0.94.
机译:跑道入住时间是估算机场运营表现的重要参数。随着机场表面雷达监控技术的改进,估算跑道入住时间和飞机出口距离是跑道的。过去的研究已经使用基于传统的模拟的方法来预测跑道占用时间,援助机场观察。然而,没有许多尝试使用深度学习和更新的数据科学算法预测跑道占用时间。本文介绍了一种神经网络算法,用于预测机场抵达航班的跑道入住时间。用于预测跑道占用时间的算法是数据驱动的。本研究中所采用的数据从在美国的37个机场部署的机场表面检测设备Model-X的两年中提取。算法的输入层是使用在不同机场运营的各个飞机的估计速度和加速度参数来定义。我们研究了八种不同机场的十四个不同飞机类型的模型的性能,并且我们预测跑道占用时间模型的观察和估计值之间的回归分析的加权平均R平方值为0.9。预测退出距离的R线值为0.94。

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