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Estimating Spatial Distribution of Hydrogeological Parameters from an Aquifer Pumping Test: The Value of Qualitative Prior Knowledge

机译:通过含水层抽水试验估算水文地质参数的空间分布:定性先验知识的价值

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An aquifer pumping test in a hypothetical groundwater system is evaluated by calibrating a three-dimensional groundwater model using drawdown data from a 72-hour pumping test followed by a recovery period. Two different approaches are undertaken in estimating hydrogeological parameters (hydraulic conductivity and specific storage): 1) a zonation approach where there is prior knowledge of the spatial distribution of hydraulic conductivity; and 2) there is no knowledge of how hydraulic conductivity varies spatially. Both approaches use an inverse parameter estimation modeling code. In the first case, a limited number of parameters are estimated using zones delineated on the basis of spatial trends in lithology. The second case involves using pilot points, where pilot points are distributed evenly and at regular distances across the three layers of the groundwater system with each pilot point representing a hydraulic conductivity or specific storage value. A total of 14 parameters were estimated using the zonal approach by fitting the pumping test drawdown and recovery data against the simulated values and parameters compared against known values. Using the pilot point approach, a total of 506 pilot points was employed. In both cases, the simulated drawdowns closely followed the observed drawdowns in all 10 wells. The pilot point approach provided a heterogeneous distribution of parameters with more confidence of the estimates within the radius of influence of the aquifer pumping test. Overall, parameter values estimated using zonal approach were more accurate than those estimated using the pilot point approach, which indicates the value of even qualitative prior knowledge.
机译:假设的地下水系统中的含水层抽水试验是通过使用72小时抽水试验的水位下降数据和恢复期来校准三维地下水模型来进行评估的。在估算水文地质参数(水力传导率和特定储量)时,采用了两种不同的方法:1)一种分区方法,该方法具有对水力传导率的空间分布的先验知识; 2)没有关于水力传导率如何在空间上变化的知识。两种方法都使用反参数估计建模代码。在第一种情况下,使用有限度的参数,这些参数是根据岩性的空间趋势划定的区域来估计的。第二种情况涉及使用先导点,先导点在地下水系统的三层中均匀且均匀地分布,每个先导点代表水力传导率或特定的存储值。通过将抽水试验的压降和恢复数据与模拟值进行拟合,并将参数与已知值进行比较,使用区域方法估算了总共14个参数。使用引航点方法,总共使用了506个引航点。在这两种情况下,在所有10口井中,模拟压降均紧随观察到的压降。先导点方法在含水层抽水试验的影响半径之内,提供了参数的异质分布,并且估计值的置信度更高。总体而言,使用区域方法估计的参数值比使用先导点方法估计的参数值更准确,这表明即使是定性的先验知识也具有价值。

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