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Estimating Spatial Distribution of Hydrogeological Parameters from an Aquifer Pumping Test: The Value of Qualitative Prior Knowledge

机译:从含水层泵送试验中估算水文地质参数的空间分布:定性先验知识的价值

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An aquifer pumping test in a hypothetical groundwater system is evaluated by calibrating a three-dimensional groundwater model using drawdown data from a 72-hour pumping test followed by a recovery period. Two different approaches are undertaken in estimating hydrogeological parameters (hydraulic conductivity and specific storage): 1) a zonation approach where there is prior knowledge of the spatial distribution of hydraulic conductivity; and 2) there is no knowledge of how hydraulic conductivity varies spatially. Both approaches use an inverse parameter estimation modeling code. In the first case, a limited number of parameters are estimated using zones delineated on the basis of spatial trends in lithology. The second case involves using pilot points, where pilot points are distributed evenly and at regular distances across the three layers of the groundwater system with each pilot point representing a hydraulic conductivity or specific storage value. A total of 14 parameters were estimated using the zonal approach by fitting the pumping test drawdown and recovery data against the simulated values and parameters compared against known values. Using the pilot point approach, a total of 506 pilot points was employed. In both cases, the simulated drawdowns closely followed the observed drawdowns in all 10 wells. The pilot point approach provided a heterogeneous distribution of parameters with more confidence of the estimates within the radius of influence of the aquifer pumping test. Overall, parameter values estimated using zonal approach were more accurate than those estimated using the pilot point approach, which indicates the value of even qualitative prior knowledge.
机译:通过使用72小时泵送测试的绘图数据校准三维地下水模型,评估假设地下水系统中的含水层泵送测试。随后进行恢复期。在估算水文地质参数(液压导电性和特定储存)中进行两种不同的方法:1)存在先验知识的液压导电性的空间分布的分区方法; 2)液压导电如何在空间上变化。两种方法都使用逆参数估计建模代码。在第一种情况下,使用基于岩性的空间趋势划定的区域估计有限数量的参数。第二种情况涉及使用导频点,其中导频点均匀分布,并且在地下水系统的三层上常规距离,每个导频点代表液压导电性或特定存储值。通过将泵送测试绘制和恢复数据与模拟值和参数拟合,通过施加泵送测试缩进和恢复数据来估计总共14个参数。使用试验点方法,共使用506个试点。在这两种情况下,模拟的拉线紧紧地遵循所有10个井中的观察到下拉。试验点方法提供了参数的异构分布,具有含水层泵送试验的影响半径内的估计的置信度。总体而言,使用区域方法估计的参数值比使用试验点方法估计的参数值更准确,这表明了甚至定性的先验知识的价值。

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